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The Margin

College football team file

UCF

Big 12, 2026 season

UCF is 3-2 through Week 5. The Margin rates UCF No. 49 of 138 FBS teams; DraftKings' futures imply No. 62.

The season simulation projects 6.7 wins and 5.3 losses. Its chance to make the College Football Playoff is under 1%.

This file has the full 2026 schedule with a model line for every game, how the model has done on UCF games, returning production, and the betting profile.