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The Margin

College football game projections

CFBLoading the record…
How this works

The same simulation that produces the ratings prices every FBS game. Where a book has posted a line, the two numbers sit side by side. We are not claiming the market is wrong, only showing where we differ and by how much. A side is named only when our number and the line are more than a few points apart; closer than that we agree with Vegas and take no side. Total range is an 80% range for the combined score, not an over/under pick.

The record band counts only the week on screen. The season Model record is in the strip under the title. FCS games the board does not price are on every matchup. NFL games are on Game projections.