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The Margin

College football team file

Toledo

Mid-American, 2026 season

Toledo is 4-1 through Week 5. The Margin rates Toledo No. 62 of 138 FBS teams; DraftKings' futures imply No. 81.

The season simulation projects 9.4 wins and 2.6 losses. Its chance to make the College Football Playoff is under 1%.

This file has the full 2026 schedule with a model line for every game, how the model has done on Toledo games, returning production, and the betting profile.