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The Margin

College football team file

Texas

SEC, AP No. 1, 2026 season

Texas is 4-0 through Week 4. The Margin rates Texas No. 6 of 138 FBS teams; DraftKings' futures imply No. 6.

The season simulation projects 10.0 wins and 2.0 losses. Its chance to make the College Football Playoff is 94%.

This file has the full 2026 schedule with a model line for every game, how the model has done on Texas games, returning production, and the betting profile.