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The Margin

College football team file

Texas State

Pac-12, 2026 season

Texas State is 2-3 through Week 5. The Margin rates Texas State No. 88 of 138 FBS teams; DraftKings' futures imply No. 69.

The season simulation projects 4.7 wins and 6.3 losses. Its chance to make the College Football Playoff is 0%.

This file has the full 2026 schedule with a model line for every game, how the model has done on Texas State games, returning production, and the betting profile.