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The Margin

College football team file

Penn State

Big Ten, 2026 season

Penn State is 3-2 through Week 5. The Margin rates Penn State No. 10 of 138 FBS teams; DraftKings' futures imply No. 18.

The season simulation projects 8.4 wins and 3.6 losses. Its chance to make the College Football Playoff is 2%.

This file has the full 2026 schedule with a model line for every game, how the model has done on Penn State games, returning production, and the betting profile.