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The Margin

College football team file

NC State

ACC, 2026 season

NC State is 3-2 through Week 5. The Margin rates NC State No. 63 of 138 FBS teams; DraftKings' futures imply No. 49.

The season simulation projects 6.5 wins and 5.5 losses. Its chance to make the College Football Playoff is under 1%.

This file has the full 2026 schedule with a model line for every game, how the model has done on NC State games, returning production, and the betting profile.