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The Margin

College football team file

Mississippi State

SEC, AP No. 17, 2026 season

Mississippi State is 4-1 through Week 5. The Margin rates Mississippi State No. 24 of 138 FBS teams; DraftKings' futures imply No. 31.

The season simulation projects 7.7 wins and 4.3 losses. Its chance to make the College Football Playoff is 16%.

This file has the full 2026 schedule with a model line for every game, how the model has done on Mississippi State games, returning production, and the betting profile.