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The Margin

College football team file

Fresno State

Pac-12, 2026 season

Fresno State is 4-1 through Week 5. The Margin rates Fresno State No. 56 of 138 FBS teams; DraftKings' futures imply No. 83.

The season simulation projects 7.8 wins and 3.2 losses. Its chance to make the College Football Playoff is 2%.

This file has the full 2026 schedule with a model line for every game, how the model has done on Fresno State games, returning production, and the betting profile.