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The Margin

College football team file

Duke

ACC, 2026 season

Duke is 4-0 through Week 4. The Margin rates Duke No. 48 of 138 FBS teams; DraftKings' futures imply No. 48.

The season simulation projects 8.1 wins and 3.9 losses. Its chance to make the College Football Playoff is 2%.

This file has the full 2026 schedule with a model line for every game, how the model has done on Duke games, returning production, and the betting profile.